From prediction to explanation: A machine learning and causal mediation framework for roadway crash risk with connected vehicle data

Dec 1, 2025·
Chenzhu Wang
Chenzhu Wang
,
Mohamed Abdel-Aty
,
Shaoyan Zhai
,
Abu Saif Md Nasim Uddin
,
Zubayer Islam
· 1 min read
Type
Publication
Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 183, 105479

This paper represents the connected-vehicle and causal-explainability line of work: predictive safety models are paired with causal mediation analysis so the model output can be translated into interpretable crash-risk mechanisms.