From prediction to explanation: A machine learning and causal mediation framework for roadway crash risk with connected vehicle data
Dec 1, 2025·
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1 min read
Chenzhu Wang
Mohamed Abdel-Aty
Shaoyan Zhai
Abu Saif Md Nasim Uddin
Zubayer Islam

This paper represents the connected-vehicle and causal-explainability line of work: predictive safety models are paired with causal mediation analysis so the model output can be translated into interpretable crash-risk mechanisms.